Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Poll Watch: Race Revisited

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Poll Watch: The Latest ABC News Polls

Blog: Race Revisited

Running through the exit poll data for a presentation this weekend led me to another way to approach the issue of race in the presidential election ? one that, as it comes out, underscores the notion that it mattered less than you might have thought.

Blog: The Gay Marriage Vote

When Californians voted by 52-48 percent for a gay marriage ban Nov. 4, it wasn't the first time: A similar measure passed by 61-39 percent in 2000, then was rejected by the state's courts. The new version bypassed the courts by amending the state's Constitution.

What changed in the two votes? Support for banning gay marriage dropped among most groups, producing the narrower margin. But it increased in one, African-Americans, and that contributed greatly to the measure's success: Non-blacks voted 50-50 on the measure this year, while blacks backed it by a 40-point margin.

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